Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.025076 0.027687 0.030272 0.033017 0.035845 0.038667 0.041692
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019322 0.023471 0.027703 0.032313 0.037165 0.042097 0.047471
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.015544 0.020678 0.026058 0.032039 0.038438 0.045030 0.052291
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013101 0.018972 0.025272 0.032393 0.040110 0.048137 0.057046
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.010419 0.016722 0.023675 0.031675 0.040455 0.049672 0.059976
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008563 0.015228 0.022773 0.031588 0.041364 0.051703 0.063326
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.006835 0.013716 0.021733 0.031249 0.041910 0.053263 0.066091
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.005256 0.012225 0.020614 0.030737 0.042193 0.054474 0.068418
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003511 0.010301 0.018865 0.029419 0.041509 0.054571 0.069482
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002974 0.009963 0.018996 0.030237 0.043185 0.057222 0.073284
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002200 0.009168 0.018510 0.030297 0.043972 0.058864 0.075956
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001243 0.007877 0.017324 0.029479 0.043724 0.059328 0.077311
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000477 0.006693 0.016323 0.028997 0.044013 0.060565 0.079718
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000008 0.005478 0.015223 0.028398 0.044195 0.061725 0.082098
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004561 0.014445 0.028148 0.044753 0.063283 0.084896
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004029 0.014166 0.028489 0.045975 0.065563 0.088466
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003062 0.013118 0.027803 0.045949 0.066404 0.090410
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002466 0.012568 0.027720 0.046610 0.067998 0.093166
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001839 0.011864 0.027396 0.046956 0.069210 0.095475
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001236 0.011067 0.026907 0.047077 0.070143 0.097448
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000524 0.009750 0.025650 0.046229 0.069936 0.098120
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000450 0.009917 0.026430 0.047859 0.072572 0.101971
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.000235 0.009582 0.026487 0.048586 0.074153 0.104622